{"id":3804,"date":"2013-06-11T19:02:20","date_gmt":"2013-06-11T19:02:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/?p=3804"},"modified":"2013-06-11T19:05:46","modified_gmt":"2013-06-11T19:05:46","slug":"i-j-good-alan-turing-y-la-estadistica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/?p=3804","title":{"rendered":"I. J. Good, Alan Turing y la estad\u00edstica"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3805\" alt=\"vtijg\" src=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/vtijg.jpg\" width=\"144\" height=\"192\" \/>Con anterioridad he comentado la entrada <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.elpais.com\/turing\/2012\/12\/alan-turing-y-la-estadistica-bayesiana.html\" target=\"_blank\">Alan Turing y la estad\u00edstica Bayesiana<\/a>, en la que los profesores Pedro Larra\u00f1aga y Concha Bielza de la Universidad Polit\u00e9cnica de Madrid, nos contaban el trabajo de Alan Turing. Hoy quiero ahondar un poco m\u00e1s en c\u00f3mo sali\u00f3 a la luz dicho trabajo.<\/p>\n<p>En 1953 I. J. Good, a quien vemos en la imagen, publica <em>The Population Frequencies of species and the estimation of population parameters(<a href=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/GoodTuring1953.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">descargar<\/a>)<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/biomet.oxfordjournals.org\/content\/40\/3-4\/237.abstract\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-3806 aligncenter\" alt=\"good1953\" src=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1953.png\" width=\"424\" height=\"407\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1953.png 530w, https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1953-300x288.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 424px) 100vw, 424px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>En este art\u00edculo aparece el siguiente p\u00e1rrafo<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-3807 aligncenter\" alt=\"good1953b\" src=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1953b.png\" width=\"416\" height=\"53\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1953b.png 694w, https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1953b-300x38.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 416px) 100vw, 416px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Claramente Good nos dice que Turing particip\u00f3 en la concepci\u00f3n de parte del trabajo, a\u00fan as\u00ed el nombre de Turing no se relacion\u00f3 m\u00e1s alla de las palabras que Good expresa. Hubo que esperar a 1979 para que Good expusiera sin ambages la labor de Turing. El t\u00edtulo de art\u00edculo lo dice todo.<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-3808 aligncenter\" alt=\"good1979\" src=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1979.png\" width=\"372\" height=\"266\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1979.png 759w, https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good1979-300x214.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 372px) 100vw, 372px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Estaba claro que la m\u00e1quina de Turing era el exponente de la era inform\u00e1tica que se alzaba, y Good, que hab\u00eda trabajado con Alan Turing en Bletchley Park, ya no parece tener reparos en exponer la contribuci\u00f3n de Turing a la estad\u00edstica. Posiblemente porque en 1979 ya no era secreto de estado el trabajo de ambos en Bletchley Park, posiblemente porque 1953 Alan Turing no estaba bien considerado en las altas esferas del gobierno ingl\u00e9s. Con el paso de los a\u00f1os Good parece empe\u00f1ado en rehabilitar la figura de su antiguo compa\u00f1ero y, ya como prestigioso estad\u00edstico, invitado a <em>Fiftieth Anniversary Conference od the Statiscs Departament of Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University<\/em>, celebrada el 14 de agosto de 1999, ofrece la conferencia <em>Turing&#8217;s anticipation of empirical Bayes in connection with the cryptanalysis of the naval Enigma<\/em>. Esta conferencia se convertir\u00e1 en un art\u00edculo en <em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1080\/00949650008812016#.UbdyxfHmi7g\" target=\"_blank\">Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation<\/a>, Volume 66, Issue 2, 2000<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good2000a.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3813 aligncenter\" alt=\"good2000a\" src=\"http:\/\/pimedios.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good2000a.png\" width=\"405\" height=\"661\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good2000a.png 405w, https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/good2000a-183x300.png 183w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 405px) 100vw, 405px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Con anterioridad he comentado la entrada Alan Turing y la estad\u00edstica Bayesiana, en la que los profesores Pedro Larra\u00f1aga y Concha Bielza de la Universidad Polit\u00e9cnica de Madrid, nos contaban el trabajo de Alan Turing. Hoy quiero ahondar un poco m\u00e1s en c\u00f3mo sali\u00f3 a la luz dicho trabajo. En 1953 I. J. Good, a&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/?p=3804\">Seguir leyendo <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">I. J. Good, Alan Turing y la estad\u00edstica<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-historia","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3804"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3804\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3816,"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3804\/revisions\/3816"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pimedios.jesussoto.es\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}